NHS Shambles

Recorded Covid cases are the lowest since before the Omicron wave.  This was achieved by the heroic action of the government in stopping free lateral flow tests. It has had some annoying side effects though:- The death rate (283 per day) is now higher than it was at the peak of the omicron wave  Hospital … Read more

Cases down?

The number of recorded Covid cases have peaked.  This may be because the number of infections are going down, or it may have something to do with this response from the NHS website This in turn may have something to do with the reduction in case numbers. Hospital admissions are rising by 11.5% per week (currently … Read more

UK, Ukraine and Covid

The war in Ukraine is a disaster brought on by Putin, a psychopath, probably in the first stages of dementia.  Deaths up to 24th March  a total of 1,035 killed (214 men, 160 women, 14 girls, and 28 boys, as well as 48 children and 571 adults whose sex is yet unknown) In the last … Read more


Cases hit a low on 25th February and have started to rise. Hospital admissions hit a low on 22nd February and are rising Deaths are still going down, but they are typically 18 days behind cases, so the low should be around mid March. This is not unexpected, given the removal of all restrictions, but … Read more

I finally got it.

Three days ago Boris announced a change to the Covid Rules From this Thursday, 24 February, we will end the legal requirement to self-isolate following a positive test, and so we will also end self-isolation support payments, although Covid provisions for Statutory Sick Pay can still be claimed for a further month. We will end … Read more

Covid-over the hill?

Daily deaths in the UK peaked at on 19th January at 283. On 28th December they were half that figure and rising. They are going down now, and since that half way point we have had 10,400 deaths. New cases peaked on 1st January at 212,837 per day.  The half way point was 18th December. … Read more

Covid – the risks.

I am fed up not going out just now.  It’s time to take stock of the risks. The chances of catching Covid. People who have COVID-19 can infect others from around 2 days before symptoms start, and for up to 10 days after. They can pass the infection to others, even if they have mild … Read more

Covid – We have been here before.

19th July 2021 Boris Johnson removed all restrictions. We were 4 days past the peak in new cases New cases in the UK were running at around 40,000 per day. They stayed around this level until 10 December when Omicron kicked in Hospital admissions were at 845 per day. They continued around that level until … Read more

Where are we?

  What does all of this tell us?  If we use the half way points:- Hospital admissions lagged cases by only 3 days as the Omicron cases were spreading. As the Omicron cases reduce, Hospital admissions are taking far longer to reduce.  Admissions today, 10 days after the number of daily cases had halved, have … Read more


It looks like cases are peaking now in all the following the Christmas and new year spikes.  New cases per day should now start to come down. And the number of patients in hospital will looks like it has peaked too at 16,163 on 7th January.  Admissions peaked at 2,370 on 29th December following the … Read more