Covid – Super Spreaders

To understand what is driving the covid rates up we can have a look at the government data. If we look at the dates just before the cases start to rise we can see the common factors. Following a mass event like a high profile football match with a crowded stadium and crowded pubs up … Read more

Covid – Freedom Day

Today is the day that the government has declared we can now stop wearing masks and stop maintaining social distancing. We are now encouraged to stop working at home and get into work. We can also travel to many more countries and not have to isolate on return. Those making the call are Savid Javid, … Read more

Covid – Mid July

New Cases On July 5th I predicted that by 13th July the daily new cases would be at record levels.  Well I was a little pessimistic. They are about the same as on Christmas day 2020, and two thirds of record levels but still rising.   The rate of rise in England is however slowing … Read more

Covid – Mortality

I measure the mortality of the pandemic as the ratio of deaths to new cases 18 days earlier.  Why 18 days? This seems to give the most consistent graphs. Before September 2020, the measurement of new cases was very sporadic so I only use the figures after that date. We can see the mortlality sitting … Read more

Covid – the Exit Strategy

The fourth wave of Covid 19 infections is continuing unabated in the UK. First a little data:- New cases are now rising at about 70% per week.If they continue to rise at this rate they will reach record levels by July 13th.If they continue to tise at this rate thereafter they will reach 1 million … Read more

Covid – The G7 Legacy

Cornwall’s case rate is rising extremely rapidly. But so far the death rate has not increased. It seems that the vaccine program has had a huge effect on the death rate. In England as a whole the number of new cases bottomed out around May 4th at 218 per day. Deaths bottomed out 18 days … Read more

Covid – Cornwall and the G7

Cornwall has covid incidence of 6 cases per 100,000.  The UK as a whole is 30. The G7 summit is coming to Cornwall 11 – 13 June and contingents will be arriving from all of the G7 countries plus guest countries.  How are these countries doing in the battle against covid 19? Country Cases per … Read more