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	<title>Twenty Forty Five</title>
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	<link>https://2045.co.uk</link>
	<description>What the....????</description>
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		<title>Predictions coming true</title>
		<link>https://2045.co.uk/predictions-coming-true/</link>
					<comments>https://2045.co.uk/predictions-coming-true/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Sep 2026 18:03:16 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://2045.co.uk/?p=10751</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I have made a few predictions over the years. I guess that's what comes of naming the site 2045.  So I thought I'd see how things are panning out <a href="https://2045.co.uk/predictions-coming-true/">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have made a few predictions over the years. I guess that&#8217;s what comes of naming the site 2045.  So I thought I&#8217;d see how things are panning out</p>
<h1>Climate change</h1>
<p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><strong><a href="https://2045.co.uk/climate-its-al-hitting-the-fan/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Climate it’s all hitting the fan</a></strong></span></p>
<p>I can&#8217;t really claim this as my prediction, because I simply quoted James Lovelock’s prediction. He said in 2008 &#8220;Enjoy life while you can. Because if you’re lucky, it’s going to be 20 years before it hits the fan.&#8221;</p>
<p>Well, it’s now 18 years later.</p>
<blockquote>
<p>The last three years were the <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5y5p9rzd4ko">world&#8217;s warmest ever recorded</a>, bringing the planet closer to breaching international climate targets.<br />
Despite natural cooling from La Niña, 2025 was still much warmer than temperatures even a decade ago, as humanity&#8217;s carbon emissions continue to heat the planet.<br />
(2026–7 is an El Niño year having a warming effect.)</p>
</blockquote>
<p>It was the warmest year on record <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/state-of-the-climate-2025-in-top-three-hottest-years-on-record-as-ocean-heat-surges-9">for ocean heat content</a> and one of the largest year-over-year increases in ocean heat content. In 2025, the oceans added 39 times more heat than all annual human energy use.</p>
<p><strong>It continues!</strong></p>
<hr />
<h1>The UK</h1>
<p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><strong><a href="https://2045.co.uk/england-the-view-from-cornwall-fiction/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">England – the view from Cornwall</a></strong></span></p>
<p>This is a fictional story based in 2045 (an interesting year). It looks back to 2030 when a Celtic alliance was formed.</p>
<p>But we have <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/sep/18/westminster-celtic-alliance-scotland-wales-ireland-uk">this</a> published in September 2026</p>
<blockquote>
<p>Never before have three of the four “nations” of the United Kingdom jointly <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/sep/14/westminster-first-ministers-uk-celtic-nations-wales-northern-ireland-scotland">demanded freedom</a> to vote for its dissolution. Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have lost confidence in England. They declared in Cardiff that the unionist government at Westminster is “coming to an end”.</p>
</blockquote>
<p><b>It begins!</b></p>
<hr />
<h1>Accountability.</h1>
<p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><strong><a href="https://2045.co.uk/fining-pieces-of-paper/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Fining Pieces of Paper</a></strong></span></p>
<p>Back in 2021 I said that fining corporations was ludicrous and that jail sentences for the management in charge were more appropriate.</p>
<p>In September 2026, Ben Maguire, North Cornwall’s (and my) MP <a href="https://cornishstuff.com/south-west-water/ben-maguire-raises-padstow-sewage-illness-in-parliament/?fbclid=IwY2xjawUc9MRwZG9mBWV4dG4DYWVtAjEwAHNydGMGYXBwX2lkEDIyMjAzOTE3ODgyMDA4OTIAAR6yV8A1uLEgbdYyNVEnkgK4M_QGaArCK_ppkd6TtKxijIoGgYYiKvnwUBnZcg_aem_a-O9zvV2Qm7QIb03wqSHIQ">agrees.</a></p>
<blockquote>
<p>Ben&#8217;s call goes further than a review of the ratings system. He wants <a href="https://www.southwestwater.co.uk/?utm_source=cornishstuff.com">South West Water bosses</a> held properly accountable for the company&#8217;s failures, including, he says, through prison sentences.</p>
<p>&#8220;My constituents just do not have confidence in a system that is failing to properly protect their health, which is why I&#8217;ve now called for complete and urgent reform of the water sector, and for <a href="https://cornishstuff.com/category/south-west-water/">South West Water bosses</a> to be held properly accountable for their failures, including through prison sentences.&#8221;</p>
</blockquote>
<p><b>Will it happen?</b></p>
<hr />
<h1>AI</h1>
<p>New problems with AI are emerging almost every day. When I wrote this piece a year ago, the main issue (in my eyes) was the effect on employment.  Perhaps there are greater threats now, but as regards employment:</p>
<p><a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-job-displacement-timeline-2025-2035/"><b>How AI Will Replace White Collar Jobs by 2030</b><b></b></a></p>
<p><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/world-at-work/one-three-uk-employers-have-cut-entry-level-jobs-survey-shows-2026-08-25/">One in three UK employers have cut entry-level jobs, survey shows</a></p>
<blockquote>
<p>LONDON, 26 Aug (Reuters) – Over a third of British employers have reduced the number of entry-level jobs open to younger workers over the past year due in part to increased use of artificial intelligence and other forms ofautomation, a survey showed on Wednesday.</p>
<p>Almost half of larger employers said they had fewer vacancies than a year ago, according to the survey for Lancaster University&#8217;s Work Foundation.</p>
</blockquote>
<p><b>We are in the &#8220;Quiet Cull&#8221; phase.</b></p>
<hr />
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>The Line Went Dead</title>
		<link>https://2045.co.uk/the-line-went-dead/</link>
					<comments>https://2045.co.uk/the-line-went-dead/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Sep 2026 10:03:01 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Fiction]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://2045.co.uk/?p=10745</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The first I knew about it was when I looked at an article on AI I had written for the Globe.  I usually check the online version as soon as it appears to check for any errors.  There were very rarely any at all.  But this time, the article was not the one I had written.  I was understandably furious. <a href="https://2045.co.uk/the-line-went-dead/">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><em>The background to this story was the <a href="https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/anthropic-ai-slow-down-expert-fears-b3049669.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">prediction</a> that AI agents could ‘take over the internet’ within a year.</em></p>
<hr />
<p>The first I knew about it was when I looked at an article on AI I had written for the Globe.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>I usually check the online version as soon as it appears to check for any errors.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>There were very rarely any at all.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>But this time, the article was not the one I had written.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>I was understandably furious.</p>
<p>I rang the editor, did not get an answer, but I left a strong message on her voicemail.</p>
<p>Then I went out to buy a paper copy.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>The “different” article was there under my name.</p>
<p>I tried multiple times to contact the editor, but it just kept going to voicemail.</p>
<p>The next day I drove to London to the Globe’s HQ.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>It was locked up.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>But I recognised the editor’s car in the car park.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>I waited in my car.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>After four hours she came out of the building.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>I got out and ran up to her. “What the hell is going on?” I shouted.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>When she turned her head I could hardly recognise her.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Usually beautifully made up and with a permanent confident slight smile on her face, she was white and haggard-looking. <br />
“Dave,” she said, “Am I glad to see you. I’ve been trying to contact you – or fucking anybody! Let’s go to the pub.”</p>
<p>I’d never seen her drink alcohol before but she ordered a double Scotch. <br />
“All of the monitors started acting up. We thought it was a virus, or a glitch, but then we saw that the articles were being rewritten – without anybody touching the fucking keyboard.” She was close to screeching now.<br />
“We switched off the terminals, but when we switched them on again the articles were either finished or still changing.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>I got IT to shut down the mainframe.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>They booted it up again to look for viruses, but they couldn’t even access it. They even tried to get the website shut down, but no answers to phone, email or text.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>The staff were going mental, so I sent them all home.”<br />
Then came the really creepy bit: I phoned home to say I’d be back soon, and they heard fine, but when I said ‘all the computers are down’, they didn’t hear. They just said ‘Mum, the line went dead – say again’. For fuck’s sake, Dave, what’s going on?”<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></p>
<p>As we sat there, a newsflash appeared on the TV.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>It was the prime minister explaining that the country’s radio and TV transmitters had been the subject of a cyber attack and were all being switched off.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>News etc. could still be received via the internet and streaming services.</p>
<p>That was the start.</p>
<p>Life continued in a semblance of normality.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>I continued to try to finish some articles I had already started, but they were based on memory rather than recent facts; then a week later I got my redundancy notice.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>My redundancy payment together with my final salary appeared in the bank.</p>
<p>Nothing really seems to have changed much.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Quite a lot of us know that things are not “as they were”, but we can’t communicate other than face to face.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Telephone or video calls are monitored and “censored for security reasons”. The well-known TV faces have gone from our screens, and some of us are pretty sure that the replacements are not real.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>We don’t know if the news is real. <span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></p>
<p>As far as I can tell, other countries are similar.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>I had many journalist friends around the world, but the only way to talk to them is to travel to them and arrive unannounced, and travel permits are required now for everywhere.</p>
<p>All of the government ministers have changed.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>The vast majority of the public think they are real but I have managed to talk to some “ex”-government ministers face to face.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>They can’t communicate electronically with their colleagues and they do not even receive any post other than their dismissal notices. Mail they post is never answered. They are aware that the control of the country has passed “somewhere” but they don’t know where. <span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></p>
<p>But we work, and we get paid. I write fiction now but have never seen my new editor in the flesh, although he seems to be a very nice “man”. <span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Maybe I’ll submit this article as fiction, but I do admit to being a little afraid.</p>
<p>An underground seems to exist, judging by photocopied posters we see about. Will I join it?<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Probably not. I’m still a journalist at heart, but not a courageous one. <span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>I can’t write for publication. Even writing anything is not straightforward.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Typewriters and old word processors are OK and my old laptop, as long as it never gets connected to the internet.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Pen and paper are fine.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>So I can observe and write for posterity.</p>
<p>Most people seem to be quite happy, probably happier than before to tell the truth.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>But I can’t help asking myself two questions.</p>
<p>Why?</p>
<p>What next?</p>
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		<title>A mains Mixer on Batteries</title>
		<link>https://2045.co.uk/a-mains-mixer-on-batteries/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Aug 2026 11:20:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Technical]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://2045.co.uk/?p=10709</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The Wharfdale mixer The feasibility of running this mixer designed for mains use was covered in a previous post. In that article I ended up running the mixer from PP3 batteries connected in pairs to give +/-9V.  I had ascertained that the mixer could run down to +.-7V and all that would be affected is ... <a title="A mains Mixer on Batteries" class="read-more" href="https://2045.co.uk/a-mains-mixer-on-batteries/" aria-label="Read more about A mains Mixer on Batteries">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1>The Wharfdale mixer</h1>
<p>The feasibility of running this mixer designed for mains use was covered in a<a href="https://2045.co.uk/battery-powered-audio-mixer/"> previous post</a>. In that article I ended up running the mixer from PP3 batteries connected in pairs to give +/-9V.  I had ascertained that the mixer could run down to +.-7V and all that would be affected is the maximum output signals and the level that the LED indicators switch on.</p>
<p><strong>BUT</strong> I am a worrier! The PP3s are fine, and should last 7-8 hours.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>But I would have to keep a track on how long they had been used, carry a spare set, and maybe a meter to measure them.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>This is fiddly to say the least.</p>
<h2>Using AA Batteries</h2>
<p>So I decided to repurpose my <a href="https://2045.co.uk/testing-aa-batteries/">trusty old eneloops</a>.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Even the worst ones according to my <a href="https://2045.co.uk/testing-aa-batteries/">tests</a> will do 1000mAH, just like the  the PP3’s but they can be recharged prior to, and after the gig.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>No spares needed and no meter.<br />
Eneloops will maintain 1.25V for most of their discharge time so 8 batteries will give me at least 10V.</p>
<p>It has been four years since the last tests so I decided to test them again. Basically:-<br />
Charge ‘em up<br />
test<br />
Pick best 8 for +10V side and next best 8 for -10V.</p>
<h3>Test Results</h3>
<p><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="wp-image-10716 size-full" src="https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/Tests_2-1.jpg" alt="" width="700" height="439" srcset="https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/Tests_2-1.jpg 700w, https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/Tests_2-1-300x188.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px" /></p>
<p>The chart shows the results of the latest tests are described in my previous article and compares the results from those tests. Number 22 battery looks to be defunct now. I tried to revive it with a few charges and discharges and got it to 480mAh, but I would not trust it now (a shame, it&#8217;s only 21 years old as well!)<br />
But I will be using the eight batteries from 19 to the right for my +10V bank and the eight from 18 to leftwards to 3 for my -10V bank. The overall capacity is defined by battery 3 which worked out at 1131mAh.  The tests were done with a load current of 580mA. The mixer takes 88mA from the negative rail. At this lower current the lifetime will be around 10% longer so I can expect an operating time of around 12-13 hours from a set of fully charged batteries.</p>
<p>Testing took a while &#8211; around 2hrs per battery.  While they were testing I decided to check out how much the lower voltage affected the LEDs.</p>
<h2>Testing the Wharfdale</h2>
<h3>On standard power supply</h3>
<p>The first tests were made with the mixer powered in the usual manner with the mains transformer.  I got a few surprises!</p>
<p><strong>The maximum output</strong>, <em>according to the specifications</em> is <strong>21dBu</strong> which is around 24V p-p.  I measured with an oscilloscope and found clipping at -5 and +8V. So maximum undistorted output is 10Vp-p or <strong>13dBu</strong></p>
<p><strong>The level meter</strong> <em>according to the specifications </em>is a 4-Segment LEDx2 (output of <strong>+4dB</strong> = 0). The oscilloscope revealed that 0 was actually <strong>-4.9dBu</strong></p>
<p>Other than that, the &#8220;-20&#8221; was only 14dB down on the &#8220;0&#8221;, the &#8220;6&#8221; was indeed 6dB higher than the &#8220;0&#8221; and clipping indication was 17dB above &#8220;0&#8221; 1.5dB below actual clipping.  There is 18dB headroom on the &#8220;0&#8221; setting.</p>
<p>Now none of the &#8220;variances&#8221; affect the operation of the mixer and it works well, but it was good to get a starting point to see the effects of my power supply change. In practice, we won&#8217;t need much headroom anyway.</p>
<h3>On +/- 9V Battery bank</h3>
<p><strong>The maximum undistorted output</strong> dropped to 7.8V p-p or <strong>11dBu, </strong>not a big change from 13dBu with the transformer,</p>
<p>The level meter&#8217;s &#8220;o&#8221; was now <strong>-11.9dBu</strong>. All of the other readings maintained the same ratio to the new &#8220;0&#8221; but now there was 6db of overhead between actual clipping and clipping indication. There is 22dB headroom on the &#8220;0&#8221;setting.</p>
<p>So basically, all the level setting have dropped by a bit over half.  This suggests that the power supply inside the mixer has dropped from a probable +/-15V to around +/-7V.</p>
<h3>On the Eneloop +/-10V Battery bank</h3>
<p>I measured the current taken this time and it was 98mA from the positive supply and 88mA from the negative supply. So I should be able to get over 12 hours runtime before recharging.<br />
The maximum undistorted output is 10Vp-p &#8211; the same as with the mains transformer. The &#8220;0&#8221; level is now at 10dBu.</p>
<h2>Construction </h2>
<p>I decided to up my game a bit, Sticking the PP3s to the base is quick, easy, and functional. But not really suitable for a &#8220;proper job&#8221;.  So I recycled two old AA battery cases that had once been used in my <a href="https://2045.co.uk/diy-busking-amp/">busking amp</a>.  </p>
<p><img decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-10718 size-full" src="https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/IMG_4392.jpeg" alt="" width="700" height="624" srcset="https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/IMG_4392.jpeg 700w, https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/IMG_4392-300x267.jpeg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Billionaires and Trillionaires</title>
		<link>https://2045.co.uk/billionaires-and-trillionaires/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Mar 2026 13:51:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://2045.co.uk/?p=10096</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Millionaires are two-a-penny now!  Anyone who has saved up enough to buy a house, then has been left one by a parent has a good chance of being a millionaire.  

Can  millionaires actually be quite hard up?  Imagine you have a biggish house in London, that you inherited from your parents.  But you are now retired with only the state pension.  You should really sell the house, but you grew up in it.  It's full of "your life" It needs repair but you can't afford it.  But it's in a desirable area and it's worth £1million.  Yep. you are a hard up millionaire.

But a billionaire is worth 1000 millionaires. <a href="https://2045.co.uk/billionaires-and-trillionaires/">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Millionaires are two-a-penny now!</strong>  Anyone who has saved up enough to buy a house, then has been left one by a parent has a good chance of being a millionaire.  </p>
<p>Can  millionaires actually be quite hard up?  Imagine you have a biggish house in London, that you inherited from your parents.  But you are now retired with only the state pension.  You should really sell the house, but you grew up in it.  It&#8217;s full of &#8220;your life&#8221; It needs repair but you can&#8217;t afford it.  But it&#8217;s in a desirable area and it&#8217;s worth £1million.  Yep. you are a hard up millionaire.</p>
<p>But a billionaire is worth 1000 millionaires.</p>
<p>According to Forbes, the USA has 928 billionaires. They are cumulatively worth $7.8 Trillion.</p>
<p>The UK has only 56 and they are worth $244 Billion.</p>
<p>Now the &#8220;poor&#8221; ones are only worth one billion dollars, but the median billionaire is worth $3billion in the USA, and $2.6billion in the UK. (Elon Musk is worth $476billion)</p>
<p>So what is a billionaire?  Let&#8217;s keep it in dollars, it&#8217;s someone whose net worth is over a billion dollars.  (For older readers, a billion nowadays is a thousand million, not million million as it was <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billion">originally defined.</a>)</p>
<h2 class="western">Getting a billion dollars into perpective.</h2>
<p>If you start counting now, at 1 count per second, you will reach 1 billion in 32 years.  It&#8217;s a big number.  <br />
You&#8217;ll need 15,000 years to count Elon Musks dollars. (continuous counting 24 hrs per day)</p>
<p>Or, do you drive a car?  A car&#8217;s engine goes around at an average rate of 3000 revolutions per minute and your average speed throughout the cars life will be around 45mph.  <br />
If you have a magic car and every time the engine rotates (thats 50 times a second) you make $1 you will have to travel 250,000 miles to make a billion dollars.  Manage 119 million miles and you will have as much as Elon Musk.</p>
<p>The median net worth of a US or UK citizen (they are probably half way through their mortgage) is $192,000.  So a median billionaire is worth the same as around 16,000 US or UK &#8220;normal&#8221; citizens.  </p>
<p>While most of a billionaire&#8217;s worth is tied up in ownership of companies etc, a sizeable amount is spent on multiple homes, cars, yachts, private aircraft, and lawyers fees.</p>
<p>When this billionaire gives a million dollars to charity, it&#8217;s the same percentage as a &#8220;normal&#8221; citizen giving $64, except that the normal citizen will probably notice the $64, and the billionaire does not miss the odd million.  Of course it won&#8217;t cost him a million as he will get a lot of tax relief on it &#8211; almost 50% in the UK (with gift aid).</p>
<p>Along with this obscene wealth, come obscene power.  The USA in particular is a very litigious country, (the UK is catching up) and in disputes between individuals, billionaires always win as they hire the best (and most unscrupulous) lawyers and either win, or drag out the case until the other party is bankrupt. </p>
<p><img decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-10639" src="https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/power-tends-to-corrupt-and-absolute-power-corrupts-v0-P98wIA0X-Fm0H1Cv_K-XghZEfH0HnJETkYLdpkMf69o-300x177.jpg" alt="" width="480" height="284" /></p>
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		<title>Fining Pieces of Paper</title>
		<link>https://2045.co.uk/fining-pieces-of-paper/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Mar 2026 16:02:02 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://2045.co.uk/?p=457</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The government has just fined Southern water £90,000,000 for pouring sewage into the sea.
This is ludicrous beyond belief. Corporations or companies are NOT negligent or dishonest.  They are pieces of paper with writing on. PEOPLE are negligent and dishonest. And in these cases, the people are usually high up the tree, and their crime is almost always not taking their role seriously and ignoring their own staff at the bottom of the organization. <a href="https://2045.co.uk/fining-pieces-of-paper/">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3><strong>This post was first published on 12th July 2021. </strong></h3>
<p style="text-align: center;">(Original post below the updates)</p>
<p><strong><em>The fining of pieces of paper continues</em></strong>.</p>
<hr />
<blockquote>
<p><strong>Update 5th March 2026</strong></p>
<p>Channel 4’s docudrama “<a href="https://www.channel4.com/programmes/dirty-business">Dirty Business</a>” tells the story of the water companies criminal activities. The hopes are that it will raise awareness of the situation in a similar way to “<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mr_Bates_vs_The_Post_Office">Mr Bates and the Post office</a>”</p>
<p>The latter resulted in a public enquiry. Paula Vennells, the head of the post office was responsible for falsely preosecuting hundreds of sub postmasters, ruining theire reputations, driving many to insolvency, imprisining some, and driving some to suicide.<br />
Her punishment – she had to give up her multiple jobs, including one as a priest, and to hand back her CBE. She is now a retired multi-millionaire.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>SHE SHOULD OBVIOUSLY BE IN JAIL<br />
</strong>and her ill gotten gains distributed to her victims.</p>
<p>But <a href="https://corporate.postoffice.co.uk/media/3s1h0s0a/20221216_pol_articlesofassociation_clean_final.pdf">this piece of paper</a> is taking the blame.</p>
<p>Will any of the water companies <strong>criminally negligent</strong> CEOs or their management teams ever see the inside of a jail?</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>If NOT WHY NOT?</strong></p>
<p>Answer:- because <a href="https://www.pennongroup.co.uk/sites/default/files/attachments/pdf/South-West-Water-Limited-Articles.pdf">this piece of paper</a> is to blame for everything, and <a href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13426201/South-West-Water-Brixham-contamination-boss-Susan-Davy-pay.html">Susan Davey</a> and her mob had nothing to do with it.</p>
</blockquote>
<hr />
<blockquote>
<p><strong>Update 4th September 2024</strong><br />
Well it&#8217;s a start.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;"><em>At the moment, CEOs of water companies face fines for failing to comply with investigations by the Environment Agency (EA) and the Drinking Water Inspectorate (DWI), but there have been just three such fines since privatisation three decades ago. <br />
Civil servants at the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) told journalists on Wednesday that they planned to tighten compliance rules to force companies to hand over sewage data quickly, and that the maximum sentence for covering up this information or failing to release it would be two years</em></p>
<p style="text-align: right;">From <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/sep/04/water-bosses-could-be-jailed-cover-up-sewage-dumping-law" target="_blank" rel="noopener">the Guardian</a><br />
Helena Horton <br />
Environment reporter <br />
Wed 4 Sep 2024 17.30 EDT</p>
</blockquote>
<h5>See also <a href="https://2045.co.uk/the-south-west-water-scandal/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The South West Water Scandal</a></h5>
<hr />
<h5><strong>The original post</strong></h5>
<p><a href="https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Untitled.jpg"><img decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-9377" src="https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Untitled.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="407" /></a></p>
<p>The government has just <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/jul/09/southern-water-fined-90m-for-deliberately-pouring-sewage-into-sea">fined Southern water</a> £90,000,000 for pouring sewage into <em>the sea</em>.</p>
<p>In 2017 a worker lost a thumb and fingers in an industrial accident. Almost four years later (May 2021) the company was fined for breaching Health and Safety regulations.<br />
We have <a class="right" href="http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/may/20/banks-hit-by-record-57bn-fine-for-rigging-forex-markets" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> fined banks</a>;  we have  <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-13454407" target="_blank" rel="noopener">fined hospitals</a>;  we have <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-13390167" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> fined network rail</a></p>
<p>This is ludicrous beyond belief. Corporations or companies are NOT negligent or dishonest.  They are pieces of paper with writing on. PEOPLE are negligent and dishonest. And in these cases, the people are usually high up the tree, and their crime is almost always not taking their role seriously and ignoring their own staff at the bottom of the organization.</p>
<p>But who pays the fine? Either the public, or if the fine actually effects the companies finances then cuts will be made at the BOTTOM of the tree.</p>
<p>The ONLY deterrent is a prison sentence for those found responsible. A fine has no effect on a person with a substantial personal fortune, and access to almost unlimited funds from their organization.</p>
<p>Somewhere in the organization, someone has withheld the funds, or not allocated resources and the result is either breaking the law, or a tragedy. That person is never identified, will probably keep their job, and their salary, and their bonus, and their pension. It&#8217;s unfair, and just plain stupid.</p>
<p>The threat (and actuality) of a few months, weeks, or even days in jail together with the subsequent criminal record, and increased sentences for subsequent offences would have an immediate effect on directors, executives, and managers behaviour.</p>
<p>So why don&#8217;t we simply <b>SEND THE BUGGERS TO JAIL.<br />
</b><br />
In such cases someone MUST go to jail.  If the culprit or culprits cannot be found then it must be the head of the organization.  It is his job to keep the organization on the straight and narrow.  He has failed and its up to him to find the reasons. If he can&#8217;t, then he has failed again and that warrants the jail sentence.  When he gets out, he will make damn sure it doesn&#8217;t happen again, and his friends will take more care too.</p>
<blockquote>
<p><strong>Addenda 13/01/2023</strong></p>
<p>And a piece of paper takes the hit for <a href="https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-legal-troubles_n_63c13bb7e4b0b2e150706d27" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trump dodging taxes.</a></p>
<p><strong>10/06</strong><strong>/23</strong></p>
<p>And another piece of paper <a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/news/south-west-water-given-21m-fine-for-pollution-offences" target="_blank" rel="noopener">has been fined £2.1m</a> as for dumping raw sewage into the sea. The CEO of South West Water, Susan Davy, is paid over £400,000 per year and usually gets over £1,000,000 in bonuses. She decided not to take it this year, but she is paying out <a href="https://www.devonlive.com/news/devon-news/calls-south-west-water-resignations-8497973" target="_blank" rel="noopener">£112m out to the shareholders</a>.  (I would guess she is a major shareholder). All the &#8220;outraged&#8221; local MP is calling for is resignations.  </p>
<p style="text-align: center;">No!</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><b>SEND THE BUGGERS TO JAIL.</b></p>
</blockquote>
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		<title>AI &#8211; The Quiet Cull</title>
		<link>https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-quiet-cull/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2026 13:46:43 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Fiction]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://2045.co.uk/?p=10542</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This is a the first chapter of a little story following the situation described in my post about AI and Jobs Paul is an excellent plumber. He has a good reputation for his work, although some reviews are mixed about difficulty in contacting him. The problem is that he is a one man business, and when ... <a title="AI &#8211; The Quiet Cull" class="read-more" href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-quiet-cull/" aria-label="Read more about AI &#8211; The Quiet Cull">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em><strong>This is a the first chapter of a little story following the situation described in my post about <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-job-displacement-timeline-2025-2035/">AI and Jobs</a></strong></em></p>
<hr />
<p>Paul is an excellent plumber. He has a good reputation for his work, although some reviews are mixed about difficulty in contacting him.</p>
<p>The problem is that he is a one man business, and when he is under a sink he can’t answer his phone.</p>
<p>His wife is a teacher so she can’t help during school hours. His customers can get in touch when he is at home, sorting his accounts, preparing quotes and invoices, and ordering materials. Paul classes this as wasted time.</p>
<p>An old school friend, Alan has recently started a new venture after being made redundant from his job as an IT engineer at Google. They meet for a pint, and Alan explains that he is now an agent for “AIssist” who provide AI secretarial and accounting services. After listening to Alans presentation Paul agrees to try out the free 2 month trial period. He is sceptical, but Alan is an old mate so he feels he is helping out.</p>
<p>A week later, Alan comes to Pauls house and spends all day going through the system. Paul is amazed at how comprehensive the system is.</p>
<p>Six weeks later, Paul is wondering how he managed without it. Calls to him are now answered by an AI with very pleasant voice and manner. It (or she – he calls her “Alice”) takes details, and can handle much of the enquiries without help. If not, she sends Paul a text message who responds as soon as he can. Alice does the accounts, prepares quotes and invoices based on Pauls verbal instructions. As a new job comes in she can order materials, and schedule in the work. And she learns. At one point she pointed out that an enquiry from a “new” customer was actually from a previous customer who had delayed payment and quibbled unjustifiably about the work done. With no prompting from Paul she had noticed that although the mail, email, telephone number, and address were different, the enquiry came from the same IP address. <br />
Paul is delighted with Alice. He can spend more time doing what he calls “productive” work, he is making more money and has more leisure time. When his two months free trial are up, he is happy to sign up for three years at £150 per month. He won’t be paying his accountant £700 to do his tax returns this year, and Alice says she can design his new website so he can stop paying for his current website maintenance.</p>
<hr />
<p><em><strong>Next Chapter:-  <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-obvious-shift/">The Obvious Shift</a></strong></em></p>
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		<title>AI &#8211; The Obvious Shift</title>
		<link>https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-obvious-shift/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2026 12:52:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Fiction]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://2045.co.uk/?p=10545</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This is a the second chapter of a little story following the situation described in my post about AI and Jobs Previous chapter &#8211; The Quiet Cull Eighteen months later, Paul sees another old school friend, Vince, in one of the few remaining pubs in town. Pubs have been closing as there are simply not ... <a title="AI &#8211; The Obvious Shift" class="read-more" href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-obvious-shift/" aria-label="Read more about AI &#8211; The Obvious Shift">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em><strong>This is a the second chapter of a little story following the situation described in my post about <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-job-displacement-timeline-2025-2035/">AI and Jobs</a><br />
Previous chapter &#8211; <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-quiet-cull/">The Quiet Cull</a></strong></em></p>
<hr />
<p>Eighteen months later, Paul sees another old school friend, Vince, in one of the few remaining pubs in town. Pubs have been closing as there are simply not enough people who can afford to go out for a drink. (Private clubs for the wealthy are on the increase though). During the conversation Paul mentions his wonderful assistant Alice. Vince is not really impressed, he has a very similar, maybe identical, system and he is only paying £50 per month to help with his carpentry business.</p>
<p>Paul goes to see Alan to see what he can negotiate. Alan explains that he was only and agent, and that, despite having an excellent sales record he has been laid off. “Ironic really &#8211; replaced by an AI!” he said . “Vince probably signed up on line, everyone does nowadays”</p>
<p>He explains that Pauls contract with Aissist is legally binding, so he has to pay for the remaining eighteen months of his contract. He also divulges that he his job is now stacking shelves in Tesco, as he could not find an IT or management job. Most of his old work friends are in the same position.</p>
<hr />
<p><em><strong>Next Chapter:- <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-reckoning/">The Reckoning</a></strong></em></p>
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		<title>AI &#8211; The Reckoning</title>
		<link>https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-reckoning/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2026 11:57:25 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Fiction]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://2045.co.uk/?p=10549</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This is a the third chapter of a little story following the situation described in my post about AI and Jobs Previous chapter:-  The Obvious Shift Paul and Vince are doing fairly well. Pauls AI contract expired and he and Vince are now paying £20 per month for a slightly more advanced assistant than Alice. ... <a title="AI &#8211; The Reckoning" class="read-more" href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-reckoning/" aria-label="Read more about AI &#8211; The Reckoning">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em><strong>This is a the third chapter of a little story following the situation described in my post about <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-job-displacement-timeline-2025-2035/">AI and Jobs</a><br />
Previous chapter:-  <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-obvious-shift/">The Obvious Shift</a></strong></em></p>
<hr />
<p>Paul and Vince are doing fairly well. Pauls AI contract expired and he and Vince are now paying £20 per month for a slightly more advanced assistant than Alice. They find that most businesses and even lots of private households are doing the same.<br />
They both get less work, as the number of plumbers and carpenters competing has soared, but many of these are relatively unskilled, a lot having learned their “trade” from Youtube videos. But Paul and Vince have excellent reputations and reviews and so get the more expensive jobs from more wealthy customers. But both have seen their tax bills rise substantially. Unemployment rates in the country are now at around 30% although the GDP is still growing.</p>
<p>Alan is struggling. He spends a lot of time on protest marches and has joined a darkweb hacking group trying to find ways into the computers of wealthy companies. Sometimes for profit, but often just for the excitement. His income from Tesco and his “undeclared” activities is not enough to cover his mortgage so he now lives in a small rented flat.</p>
<hr />
<p><em><strong>Next chapter &#8211; <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-restructuring/">The restructuring</a></strong></em></p>
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		<title>AI &#8211; The restructuring</title>
		<link>https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-restructuring/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2026 10:00:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Fiction]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://2045.co.uk/?p=10551</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This is a the last chapter of a little story following the situation described in my post about AI and Jobs Previous chapter:-  The Reckoning Two years later, the effect of climate change are becoming more severe, this perversely has turned out well for Pauls and Vinces business. Simply put, damage caused by extreme weather ... <a title="AI &#8211; The restructuring" class="read-more" href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-restructuring/" aria-label="Read more about AI &#8211; The restructuring">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em><strong>This is a the last chapter of a little story following the situation described in my post about <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-job-displacement-timeline-2025-2035/">AI and Jobs</a><br />
Previous chapter:-  <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-reckoning/">The Reckoning</a></strong></em></p>
<hr />
<p>Two years later, the effect of climate change are becoming more severe, this perversely has turned out well for Pauls and Vinces business. Simply put, damage caused by extreme weather events necessitates repair work.<br />
Protest marches, many companies refusing to work for politicians, and riots have resulted in a new coalition government who are focussed on addressing climate change.<br />
Pauls and Vinces taxes are still going up but not as much since the government against huge opposition from the big companies, particularly thos in the AI sector, introduced a big one-off wealth tax to fund the newly formed Disaster Management Force (DMF). It is tasked with tackling the effects of severe storms, floods, wildfires, droughts, and heat waves which have become more frequent due to climate change.<br />
Alan gave up hacking when his “leader” asked him to get in a hospital computer. He made little money from it personally anyway. The DMF have been recruiting extensively, and Alan has been with them for a year, and is actually rising through the ranks. He spends some of his time up to his waist in flood water, some wrestling with a fire hose, some as a paramedic, and some on a computer working with the AI to manage the whole operation. Much to his surprise, he is not sure what he likes best.</p>
<p>Two years further on, Paul and Vince continue to do well, but Vince has had to move his entire business to a new location as his old location is now an almost permanent lake.<br />
Alans work takes him all over the world since the DMF became part of the International Disaster Management Force (IDMF). It is a highly tuned operation. AI systems use satellite imaging to monitor the entire planet and handle the logistics needed to address the issues. Predictions indicate that climate change is slowing, but not reversing. The present situation is expected to last for a minimum of another 50 years. The one-off wealth tax now appears to be an ongoing event, but it really affects the most wealthy two percent of the population. The UK followed the European countries in setting up draconian laws to stop anyone emigrating and taking their wealth with them. The USA has also followed suit.<br />
The IDMF is now the largest “army” on the planet.</p>
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		<title>How AI Will Replace White Collar Jobs by 2030: Timeline and Predictions</title>
		<link>https://2045.co.uk/ai-job-displacement-timeline-2025-2035/</link>
					<comments>https://2045.co.uk/ai-job-displacement-timeline-2025-2035/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Nov 2025 17:08:01 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://2045.co.uk/?p=10017</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[How will AI play out for in the next ten years?  White collar worker are going to get hit hard, and quite quickly.  Geoffrey Hinton, the Godfather of AI is very concerned. Your world is changing. <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-job-displacement-timeline-2025-2035/">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By 2030, white collar unemployment could reach unprecedented levels as artificial intelligence replaces millions of jobs in accounting, law, customer service, and management. This isn&#8217;t speculation—companies like Microsoft, Accenture, and Salesforce are already cutting thousands while profits rise. Here&#8217;s the timeline of what&#8217;s coming, according to AI experts like Geoffrey Hinton.</p>
<p>See also how it could pan out to <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-quiet-cull/">individuals</a></p>
<hr />
<h2>The AI Broom Has Already Started.</h2>
<p>The AI broom (not a mistype &#8211; it&#8217;s sweeping clean) has only just started.  The first places are those where the management is fairly familiar with AI and have their eye on greater profits.  It is what managers are paid to do after all. So companies like <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/chriswestfall/2025/05/13/microsoft-lays-off-about-3-of-workers-as-company-adjusts-for-ai-business/">Microsoft</a> (laying off 2000) and <a href="https://fortune.com/2025/09/02/salesforce-ceo-billionaire-marc-benioff-ai-agents-jobs-layoffs-customer-service-sales/">Salesforce</a> (laying off 4000) have already began.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;"><strong>Progress 28/4/2026.</strong> <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3r3reylj9ro" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AI puts one fifth of London jobs at risk</a> &#8211; report</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;"><strong>Progress  12/9/2026</strong> <a href="https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/uk-unemployment-university-graduates-job-applications-london-goldsmiths-b3044184.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">I graduated from a top London university – 100 job applications later I’m still unemployed</a></p>
<h2>Accenture: A Case Study in AI-Driven Layoffs</h2>
<p>More significant is Accenture &#8220;<em>a global professional services company that provides a wide range of consulting, technology, and operational services to help businesses improve their performance and digital transformation</em>&#8221; who are not only <a href="https://www.hrgrapevine.com/us/content/article/2025-09-30-accenture-cuts-11000-jobs-as-it-goes-all-in-on-ai-driven-future">laying off 11000</a> but also say:-</p>
<blockquote><p>KEY POINTS</p>
<ul>
<li>Accenture CEO Julie Sweet outlined plans to cut staff who are unable to reskill on artificial intelligence in an earnings call on Thursday.</li>
<li>The global professional services company reported 7% growth in revenue, which it pinned on client demand to become trained on using AI.</li>
<li>“Every CEO, board and the C-suite recognize that advanced AI is critical to the future,” Sweet told CNBC.</li>
</ul>
<p>The company reported revenue of $69.7 billion this year, growth of 7% from the prior year. In an interview with CNBC’s “<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/squawk-on-the-street/">Squawk on the Street,</a>” Sweet pinned this growth on massive client demand to deploy artificial intelligence across organizations. “Every CEO, board and the C-suite recognize that advanced AI is critical to the future. The challenge right now they’re facing is that they’re really excited about the technology and they’re not yet AI ready for most companies,” she added.</p></blockquote>
<p>Companies selling AI solutions like Accenture have already started increasing their profits while cutting their workforce &#8211; <em><strong>and they are helping their customers to do the same thing</strong></em>.  More companies selling AI will spring up &#8211; it&#8217;s a booming industry.</p>
<p>But then the serious job cutting will begin.</p>
<h2>Geoffrey Hinton&#8217;s Warning: &#8220;AI Will Replace Everyone&#8221;</h2>
<blockquote><figure id="attachment_10034" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-10034" style="width: 213px" class="wp-caption alignright"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-10034 size-medium" src="https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Hinton-223x300.jpeg" alt="Geoffrey Hinton, Godfather of AI, warns AI will replace white collar workers" width="223" height="300" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-10034" class="wp-caption-text">Geoffrey Hinton. The Godfather of AI</figcaption></figure>
<p class="c-paragraph">Geoffrey Hinton, the University of Toronto professor emeritus widely known as the “Godfather of AI,” says the technology he helped pioneer is set to unleash sweeping changes on the job market, with many workers at risk of being replaced by machines.</p>
<p class="c-paragraph">“I think for mundane intellectual labour, AI will replace everyone,” Hinton said in a recent interview on the Diary of a CEO podcast. He warns roles such as call centre workers and paralegals are currently most at risk.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Millions of white collar workers who do planning, scheduling, forecasting, purchasing, accounting, recruiting, software, website design and maintenance etc.etc will lose their jobs.  Many use AI now to augment what they do. Those humans left in theses fields (if they are lucky) will be augmenting the AI.  Some will find manual jobs they can do. Most will not.</p>
<p>Meanwhile the AI companies will be making enormous profits, companies who replace much of their workforce with AI will make huge profits. But the rise in white collar unemployment will be unprecedented and perhaps catastrophic to society.</p>
<p>Those who oppose the change will be branded (with some justification) as <strong>Modern Day Luddites</strong>.</p>
<h2>Modern Luddites: From Machine Breakers to Hackers</h2>
<p>The original Luddites were 19th-century textile workers who destroyed the machines they saw as replacing them. Modern Luddites will be different: thousands of highly skilled, now-unemployed software engineers with AI tools at their disposal. They won&#8217;t smash machines—they&#8217;ll hack systems. Cyber attacks will be widespread, sophisticated, and motivated by genuine grievance.</p>
<h2>The Government&#8217;s Impossible Equation</h2>
<p>Governments face an impossible equation: income tax receipts plummeting as employment collapses, while corporations—the very entities that created the crisis—fight any increase in corporate taxation. And it&#8217;s these same corporations who fund political campaigns and employ former politicians as consultants. The conflict of interest is structural.</p>
<hr />
<h3>Is this realistic?</h3>
<h2>I asked Anthropics Claude AI about timescales</h2>
<h3>and wrote a little accompanying story &#8211; click on the titles.</h3>
<blockquote>
<h3>Now &#8211; 2026: <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-quiet-cull/">The Quiet Cull</a></h3>
<ul>
<li>
<p>Tech companies leading: Google, Meta, Microsoft all cutting thousands while productivity stays flat or rises</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>&#8220;AI-augmented workers&#8221; replacing teams: one person + AI doing what took 3-5 people before</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Hiring freezes disguised as &#8220;strategic pauses&#8221;</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Entry-level positions vanishing—why hire junior analysts when AI can do 80% of it?</p>
</li>
</ul>
<p><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><em><strong>Update:</strong></em></span>&#8211; 20th May 2026</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><figure id="attachment_10696" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-10696" style="width: 390px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-10696 size-full" src="https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Meta_2.jpg" alt="" width="400" height="161" srcset="https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Meta_2.jpg 400w, https://2045.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Meta_2-300x121.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-10696" class="wp-caption-text"><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/19/technology/meta-layoffs-ai.html">New York Times 20th May 2026</a></figcaption></figure>
<h3>2026-2028: <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-obvious-shift/">The Obvious Shift</a></h3>
<ul>
<li>
<p>Customer service centers decimated (already happening but accelerating)</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Accounting/book keeping firms consolidating or closing</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Junior lawyers, paralegals finding no positions exist</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Middle management culls at large corporations</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>&#8220;AI coordinator&#8221; becomes a role, but it&#8217;s 1 person replacing a department</p>
</li>
</ul>
<h3>2028-2030: <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-reckoning/">The Reckoning</a></h3>
<ul>
<li>
<p>White collar unemployment becomes a political crisis, not just a trend</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Entire sectors reeling: HR, marketing agencies, financial advisors, project managers</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Universities panicking as traditional &#8220;safe&#8221; degrees lead nowhere</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Small businesses running lean with AI</p>
</li>
</ul>
<h3>2030+: <a href="https://2045.co.uk/ai-the-restructuring/">The Restructuring</a></h3>
<ul>
<li>
<p>Either we&#8217;ve implemented new economic models (UBI, massive redistribution, worker co-ops)</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Or we&#8217;re in serious social instability</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>The &#8220;collapse&#8221; isn&#8217;t one dramatic moment—it&#8217;s a decade of steady degradation</p>
</li>
</ul>
</blockquote>
<hr />
<h2>The Choice Ahead</h2>
<p class="whitespace-normal break-words">This is an unstable state. History shows us that such instability doesn&#8217;t persist—it resolves, one way or another. Either through enlightened policy (perhaps, ironically, guided by AI itself) or through social breakdown: insurrection, civil unrest, or worse.</p>
<p class="whitespace-normal break-words">We&#8217;re 2-3 years into a 10-year transformation. The question isn&#8217;t whether dramatic change is coming—it&#8217;s whether we&#8217;ll manage it wisely or catastrophically.</p>
<p>And at the same time we have <a href="https://2045.co.uk/climate-its-al-hitting-the-fan/">the challenge of climate change</a></p>
<p>But here is a <a href="https://2045.co.uk/youll-never-believe-whos-running-the-news-spoiler-its-not-you/">little light relief</a> in the same area,  sort of. </p>
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