Muddling on

So we continue. The number of new reported COVID cases continue to increase, albeit slowly. Current average figures show :-

  • 33,034 new cases per day, or a new case is reported every 23 seconds.
  • 142 people die every day from Covid or one death every 10 minutes.
  • 8000 people are in hospital
  • 1000 people are on mechanical ventilation beds
  • Wales has the lowest percentage of people yet to be double jabbed at 15.1%. Scotland has 16.1%, England has 18.2% and Northern Ireland 19.8%
  • Total vaccinations are running are running at 76,440 per day. They were at over 600,000 in March.

The government’s current response is to start vaccinating children over 12 years old, despite having zero data on what the long term effect of the vaccinations may be. What is known is that the children do not need the vaccines for their own health, but it may help to stop them passing into on to older people.

The additional response is to give additional doses of the vaccine to older people as it seems the vaccines “wear off” with time.

There is no intention (yet) of introducing any more restrictions to slow the spread of the virus.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation estimates that cases and deaths and hospital occupancy will all increase appreciably by the end of the year.

Universities go back this week. Interestingly the authorities did try to blame the huge increase in cases in Cornwall (due to the G7 conference) on the return of students to Penryn.

The graph below (from Worldometers) shows how the cases really began to build up this time last year.

But the major difference is that now most of the population is vaccinated. But we are now dealing with the delta variant which is much more infectious.

We can expect the deaths to be lower because of the vaccines, but the number of cases, and the percentage of the population actually infected may reach record levels soon.